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Australia’s Social Cohesion Is Holding Together, but the Signs of Strain Are Getting Harder to Ignore

It is easy to look at the current global environment and come away with the impression that societies everywhere are becoming more fractured. International conflict, political polarisation, economic pressure, racial and religious tensions, and years of cost-of-living anxiety have all contributed to a sense that people are increasingly being pushed apart rather than brought together. Australia has not been isolated from those pressures, and debates around migration, identity, discrimination, economic security and trust have become increasingly prominent in public life. Yet the picture is more complicated than a simple story of a society falling apart.

Recent research suggests that Australian social cohesion remains surprisingly resilient in some areas while clearly weakening in others. The 2025 Mapping Social Cohesion study found that its overall social cohesion index remained at the same level as in 2023 and 2024, despite continuing economic and social pressures. At the same time, the research recorded relatively low levels of national belonging among some groups, persistent prejudice toward certain migrant and faith communities, and a strong relationship between financial circumstances and people's broader sense of cohesion. In other words, Australia still has a considerable social foundation, but that foundation is being tested.

The Bigger Concern May Be What Is Happening in Everyday Social Life

Large political events naturally attract attention, but much of social cohesion is actually built much closer to home. It exists in relationships with friends, family, neighbours, colleagues, sporting clubs, community organisations and the countless ordinary interactions that make people feel they belong somewhere. Those everyday connections can provide a buffer against broader political or economic turbulence because most people do not experience national debates every hour of every day. They experience the people immediately around them.

The worrying part is that several long-running datasets suggest those personal connections have weakened over time. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that in 2025, 53% of Australians had face-to-face contact with family or friends outside their household at least once a week. That was an improvement on the pandemic-affected figure of 42% in 2020, but still well below the 68% recorded in 2019. Volunteering through an organisation also stood at 23% in 2025, compared with 30% in 2019, indicating that some forms of community participation have not returned to earlier levels.

The longer-term HILDA data points in a similar direction. Its 2025 reporting found that Australians were seeing friends and relatives less frequently than they did in 2001, with the proportion socialising several times a week or more dropping from roughly 32% to around 20%. That matters because the same research found a clear association between stronger social relationships and better psychological wellbeing. Australians may still be connected, but many appear to be connecting less often than they once did.

Loneliness, Trust and Belonging Are Part of the Same Story

Social disconnection does not always show up dramatically. It can emerge gradually through fewer friendships, less community participation, reduced trust and a weakening feeling that people have a place within the society around them. Those changes may seem small individually, but together they can alter how people view neighbours, institutions and even their own future.

Trust is one area where the direction is particularly concerning. The June 2026 ANUpoll found that interpersonal trust had fallen to its lowest level recorded by the survey during the 2020s, with Australians rating trust in others at 5.32 out of 10. That was below the pre-pandemic figure recorded in October 2019 and represented a reversal of the temporary rise in trust seen during the COVID period. At the same time, the survey found that wellbeing remained broadly stable but at a relatively low level, suggesting that Australians are not necessarily experiencing a sudden collapse in life satisfaction, but neither are they returning to a stronger sense of social confidence.

The Scanlon research also shows that belonging is not distributed evenly across the population. Younger Australians, people who describe themselves as financially poor, and people from non-English-speaking backgrounds reported lower levels of belonging in the 2025 study. Financial circumstances were identified as one of the strongest factors associated with social cohesion, reinforcing the idea that economic insecurity does not remain confined to household budgets; it can influence how secure, respected and connected people feel within society itself.

Australians Are Not Becoming Miserable Overnight, but Wellbeing Has Eroded

It would be misleading to suggest that Australians are suddenly deeply unhappy. The ABS reported average life satisfaction of 7.1 out of 10 in 2025, which is still a relatively positive result. However, that figure was lower than the 7.5 recorded in 2019 and the 7.6 recorded in 2014, suggesting that wellbeing has gradually weakened rather than collapsed.

The same pattern appears internationally, particularly among younger people. The 2026 World Happiness Report found that life evaluations among people under 25 in Australia, New Zealand, Canada and the United States have fallen substantially compared with the period before widespread smartphone-based social media use. Across those countries, the decline for younger people amounted to almost one full point on the 0–10 life-evaluation scale over the longer comparison period, while older adults showed much less change.

This generational difference deserves attention because younger Australians are not simply starting from a different cultural baseline; many indicators suggest their wellbeing and sense of connection are weakening over time. HILDA data previously showed loneliness among Australians aged 15 to 24 rising from 14.4% in 2008 to 20.2% in 2019, before increasing sharply during the pandemic and remaining elevated afterward. That does not mean all young Australians are isolated or unhappy, but it does suggest that social disconnection has become a more significant feature of younger adulthood than it was for earlier cohorts.

Economic Pressure Reaches Much Further Than the Household Budget

One of the strongest suspects behind this decline is financial pressure. Cost-of-living difficulties have attracted enormous attention recently, but household stress did not suddenly begin with the latest inflation cycle. Housing affordability, stagnant real wage growth at various points, insecure work and growing household costs have been placing pressure on Australians for many years.

The ABS reported that 25% of households experienced at least one cash-flow problem in 2025, compared with 21% in 2020 and 22% in 2019. Financial strain affects much more than spending decisions because it can shape whether people participate socially, feel secure about their future, trust institutions or believe society is treating them fairly. The Scanlon Institute similarly identifies financial circumstances as a major influence on belonging, trust and attitudes toward broader social cohesion.

When people are worried about rent, mortgages, food prices or job security, withdrawing from community life can become understandable. Social activities cost money, volunteering requires time, and maintaining friendships becomes harder when people are working longer hours or juggling several responsibilities. The result can be a slow retreat into smaller personal circles, not necessarily because people want less connection, but because the practical conditions of daily life make maintaining those connections more difficult.

Modern Life Is Also Leaving People Feeling Stretched

Time pressure is another part of the equation. Parents, carers and workers frequently report feeling rushed, and those pressures can reduce the time available for friendships, neighbourhood activity and community participation. A busy society can remain economically productive while gradually losing some of the informal social interaction that helps build trust between people.

No single factor fully explains the shift, however. Economic pressure, changing work patterns, housing insecurity, generational differences, reduced participation and the after-effects of the pandemic all interact. Social cohesion is not a single behaviour that can be repaired by fixing one problem; it is the cumulative result of how secure, connected, respected and involved people feel in everyday life.

That is why the gradual decline matters even if none of the individual indicators looks catastrophic. A person seeing friends slightly less often, volunteering less frequently and feeling somewhat less trusting may not appear socially disconnected in isolation. Multiply those changes across millions of people over 10 or 15 years, however, and society can begin to feel very different.

Social Media Is Part of the Story, but It Is Not the Whole Story

Social media is frequently blamed for growing division, loneliness and political hostility, and there are reasons to take that concern seriously. Online platforms can amplify misinformation, reward outrage, create algorithmic echo chambers and expose users to hostility that would be much less common in face-to-face interactions. At the same time, the evidence is more complicated than simply saying social media makes everyone less happy.

The 2026 World Happiness Report found that heavy social media use was associated with poorer wellbeing among some younger users, particularly in several English-speaking countries and Western Europe. However, the report also emphasised that outcomes vary depending on how platforms are used, the type of platform, gender and socioeconomic circumstances, while strong social connections and a sense of belonging were associated with much larger differences in wellbeing.

That complexity matters. Social media can create problems, but it can also maintain friendships, provide community for isolated people and connect individuals who might struggle to find support locally. Treating the platforms as the sole explanation for declining cohesion risks ignoring the deeper economic, social and institutional conditions that shape whether people feel secure and connected in the first place.

Australia Still Has Important Sources of Social Resilience

Despite these pressures, the evidence does not support the idea that Australia has lost its capacity for social cohesion. The 2025 Scanlon study found that 54% of Australians were involved in some form of social, religious, civic or political group, and people living in cohesive neighbourhoods were substantially more likely to report strong belonging, trust, happiness and acceptance of immigrants. These findings suggest that local community connections remain a meaningful protective factor even when national sentiment is under strain.

Attitudes toward multiculturalism also remain broadly positive, although there are clear areas of concern. The 2024 Mapping Social Cohesion study found that 85% of Australians agreed multiculturalism had been good for the country, while 82% said migrants were good for the economy. The 2025 report continued to find strong overall support for multiculturalism, even while concerns about migration levels and prejudice toward some immigrant and religious communities remained present.

The ABS provides a more cautious but still broadly supportive picture. In 2025, 75% of Australians agreed that it was good for society to be made up of different cultures, although this was down from 85% in 2020 and 81% in 2019. That decline should not be ignored, but neither does it indicate that most Australians have rejected cultural diversity.

The Pandemic Showed That Social Attitudes Can Change Quickly

One reason for some optimism is that social trust and connection are not necessarily fixed. During the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, several Australian datasets recorded temporary improvements in trust and community solidarity even while people faced substantial uncertainty. The later decline in interpersonal trust recorded by ANU suggests those gains were not permanent, but their existence demonstrates that social attitudes can respond quickly when people feel that society is facing a common challenge together.

That matters because it suggests disconnection is not simply an irreversible generational decline. If economic security improves, people regain confidence in institutions, neighbourhood participation increases and social relationships become easier to maintain, indicators of cohesion could improve as well. Social wellbeing responds to the conditions around people, which means public policy, community investment and economic circumstances can all influence its direction.

The strongest interventions may therefore be fairly ordinary rather than dramatic. Affordable housing, secure employment, accessible public spaces, sporting clubs, libraries, neighbourhood organisations, volunteering opportunities and community services all provide environments where people encounter others outside their immediate social circle. These institutions rarely generate the same attention as national political controversies, yet they can do much more to create everyday trust.

Social Cohesion Is Built Locally Before It Is Measured Nationally

National surveys are useful because they reveal patterns that individuals cannot easily see themselves, but cohesion ultimately develops through daily experience. People form opinions about society partly through whether their neighbours help them, whether they feel welcome in local organisations, whether their children feel included at school and whether they believe institutions treat them fairly. Those experiences can either reinforce or undermine the larger idea that people with different backgrounds can live together successfully.

This helps explain why Australia can simultaneously experience serious debates around race, religion, immigration and politics while still maintaining strong levels of everyday multicultural interaction. National controversies can be loud, but they do not automatically describe every workplace, neighbourhood or friendship group. The continued strength of many local relationships is one reason the Scanlon Index has remained relatively resilient despite years of pressure.

That resilience should not become an excuse for complacency. Persistent discrimination, declining interpersonal trust, weaker participation and lower wellbeing among younger Australians all deserve attention precisely because they can gradually erode the social foundation that has so far proved relatively durable.

Final Thoughts

Australia's social cohesion story is neither one of collapse nor one of uncomplicated success. The country retains substantial support for multiculturalism, strong neighbourhood networks and meaningful levels of participation, but those strengths now coexist with declining trust, weaker social contact, financial stress and signs that younger Australians in particular are becoming less satisfied and less connected. The longer-term trend is therefore less dramatic than the idea of society suddenly breaking apart, but potentially more important because it has been developing gradually for years.

There is no single villain behind that shift. Social media may contribute, economic insecurity clearly matters, modern work and family pressures play a role, and wider political and international tensions can intensify existing anxieties. The evidence points instead toward a toxic combination of pressures acting on a society that already had signs of weakening connection before the most recent period of turmoil.

The more encouraging conclusion is that many of these pressures are not inevitable. Stronger economic security, investment in local communities, opportunities for people to participate together and institutions that retain public confidence can all strengthen the conditions in which trust and belonging grow. Australia does not need everyone to agree politically or culturally in order to remain cohesive; it needs enough people to believe that they belong, that others will generally treat them fairly, and that their communities are worth participating in.

That may ultimately be the most useful way to think about social cohesion. It is not about eliminating disagreement or pretending prejudice and discrimination do not exist. It is about ensuring that economic pressure, isolation and distrust do not become so entrenched that people stop seeing themselves as part of a shared society.

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